ANALYSIS
Methodology note: Historical index values on this Pulse are normalized to the current methodology for comparability. The original as-published record remains unchanged in the canonical archive.
DAILY PULSE // 5 SEP 2026
ASI Readiness: 59.03 (0.00) Singularity Readiness: 53.19 (0.00) ASI forecast: 5Y 30% (0 pp) · 10Y 81% (0 pp) · central estimate 2032–33
Historical values are displayed on the current methodology. The September 1 decomposition reset is absorbed into prior history and is not a capability decline.
What changed
Claude completed a machine-checked Lean formalization of Fermat's Last Theorem. Anthropic reports an 11-day Claude Code-based multi-agent run. The final artifact is machine checked, but the complete autonomous workflow has not been independently reproduced by an external team. This formalizes known mathematics rather than solving a new open problem.
ChatGPT/Codex materially contributed to proofs in Cherednik's instanton-superpolynomial work. The revised preprint explicitly documents the AI contribution. The result is primary-source confirmed, with no external proof reproduction yet.
GPT-5.6 and Fable 5 assisted a tight n=4 correlation-gap proof. The author reports human correction/refinement plus computational verification of 2,745 Bernstein coefficient systems. The theorem remains an unreviewed preprint without independent reproduction.
ChatGPT 5.6 helped find a counterexample to the stable forking conjecture. Freitag and Mutchnik explicitly credit an interactive model search for the construction. One duplicate canonical entry for this same paper has been archived; this Pulse now points to the single surviving event.
Readiness and forecast
No change. The cluster strengthens evidence for AI participation in formalization, proof search and mathematical discovery, but external reproduction and cross-domain generalization remain insufficient for a calibrated Readiness or forecast move.
BOTTOM LINE: The signal is the clustering of concrete AI-assisted mathematical work, not a score jump. ASI Readiness remains 59.03 and Singularity Readiness 53.19 on the rebased scale.
_Historical correction (12 Sep 2026): methodology deltas were normalized and canonical duplicate references were cleaned while preserving the original publication timestamp._